20151231 – DAILY FX COMMENT

Good morning

  High Low     High Low
EUR/USD 1.0938 1.0899   USD/ZAR 15.6595 15.4595
GBP/USD 1.4845 1.4807 GBP/ZAR 23.23 22.92
EUR/GBP 0.7383 0.7346 USD/RUB 74.50 72.59
GBP/EUR 1.3613 1.3545 USD/ILS 3.9158 3.8871
USD/JPY 120.59 120.32 S&P 500 2065 2060
GBP/CHF 1.4734 1.4628 Oil (Brent) 37.01 36.57
GBP/AUD 2.0382 2.0247 Gold 1063.0 1057.0
             

Pretty quiet start to the day. Some position squaring likely during the day and traders try leave the office “flat”.

No change to what I have been saying all week really, the USD will rebound into 2016 especially vs the EUR which has been stuck in a range all week.

GBPUSD remains heavy as does EURGBP, however if I am right about the moves expected early January, we could very well see the GBPUSD fall to 1.4565 lows from April, EURGBP back towards 0.70 (1.4285) and EURUSD FINALLY trading towards PARITY. So volatility is expected and coming.

In addition to the EUR, GBP and other major currencies suffering at the hands of the USD, Emerging Currencies too will be hit. Already we have seen the ZAR, TRY, INR, CNY, MYR, MXN, BRL and NGN hit over the past few months as investors seek to exit EM and enter other underlying’s. Remember any investor in EM has to buy local currency, and given the losses we have seen in recent months any gains from investments have been dented (and then some) by the losses on the currency. So expect this to carry on into 2016.

WE AT PARITYFX WOULD LIKE TO WISH ALL OUR READERS A HAPPY NEW YEAR. MAY 2016 BRING YOU MUCH HEALTH, HAPPINESS AND PROSPERITY. THANK YOU ONE AND ALL FOR YOUR SUPPORT

HERE’S TO 2016 – CHEERS 🙂 

 

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2 thoughts on “20151231 – DAILY FX COMMENT”

  1. I quite like reading an article that will make people think.
    Also, thank you for allowing for me to comment!

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